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Florida Polytechnic University seniors (from left) Nolan Ross, Danny Drysdale, Josephine Justice Johnson, Hailey Bauer, Kelly Resetar, Melanie Najera and Ryan Skornia are members of an interdisciplinary capstone team working to improve fall risk detection for project sponsor Lakeland Regional Health.

Capstone team builds predictive tool to improve patient safety

February 17, 2026

When Lakeland Regional Health patients are admitted to the hospital, care teams must quickly assess their risk of falling and suffering a potentially serious injury. Traditionally, that process relies on clinical judgment and standard screening tools. Now, a group of Florida Polytechnic University capstone students is working to bring greater precision and data-driven insight to those critical decisions.

The seven-member interdisciplinary team of seniors is developing a tool that analyzes patient data to help assess fall risk. The tool will also recommend when one of the hospital’s limited number of high-tech monitoring devices would be most effective, helping care teams prioritize resources and improve patient safety.

“We want to use predictive modeling to find the probability of patients falling, given their data. From there, we can allocate the devices to those at highest risk of falling,” said Nolan Ross, an applied mathematics major. “Our computer science majors are designing an interactive UI (user interface) dashboard, and we’ll make additional improvements.”

At the center of the project is the AvaSure monitoring device for remote patient observation. It uses artificial-intelligence-powered computer vision and two-way audio and video to detect risky behaviors, such as someone getting out of bed. The remote observer can then speak directly to the patient or alert staff to provide immediate attention, allowing multiple patients to be monitored around the clock.

Factors that may increase a patient’s fall risk include medication side effects, cognitive impairment, muscle weakness and age.

“We are also creating an optimization model and analyzing benefits and costs to determine the financial value of how many AvaSure devices the hospital should have to minimize the fall risk,” said Hailey Bauer, a business analytics major with a concentration in logistics and supply chain management.

The team is composed of students majoring in applied mathematics, business analytics, data science and computer science.

“The jobs these essential workers are doing are very difficult and multifaceted, and we saw everything they have to manage all at once when we toured the hospital,” said Josephine Justice Johnson, a data science major. “If our project is able to alleviate just some of their daily stress, that’s extremely important.”

Team members said they were excited for the opportunity to apply their technical training to a project with real-world impact.

“We’re using real data. We have to clean the data, use the skills we were taught in class, and then train and test predictive models while we also look at how to present this to people who don’t necessarily know what we know,” Bauer said.

The team’s remaining members are data science major Melanie Najera, applied mathematics major Ryan Skornia, and computer science majors Danny Drysdale and Kelly Resetar.

 

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Lydia Guzmán
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863-874-8557

Session Details

This session will demonstrate that practical risk management is for everyone, regardless of a formal program. Attendees will learn actionable and simple strategies that are easy to implement, enabling them to start immediately by focusing on their top risks to build greater operational resilience and ensure the sustained success of their auxiliary enterprises.

Presenter Profile

Michelle Powell serves as the pioneering Risk Manager at Florida Polytechnic University, the state’s sole 100% STEM-dedicated institution. Having been with the university for nearly 11 years, Michelle transitioned from a leadership role in Admissions in October 2023 to establish and evolve the risk management function from the ground up. In this solo capacity, Michelle builds robust frameworks for our dynamic, young university, overseeing our insurance portfolio, consulting on third-party and event risks, and developing critical campus-wide training programs. Michelle has obtained the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations (COSO) Enterprise Risk Management certificate and the Associate in Risk Management (ARM) and Construction Risk and Insurance Specialist (CRIS) designations. Her distinct background in mathematics and engineering, combined with extensive higher education leadership, brings an analytical and strategic approach enhancing the institution’s resilience.